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Mortgage Rates Projected to Rise as Tapering Continues

by The Mike Parker Team

 

It is projected that if the Fed continues to cut back on bond purchases that long term mortgage rates would start to climb. Many experts felt that Janet Yellen, who replaced Ben Bernanke as Fed Chair, was going to be less inclined to continue tapering bond purchases at the level established.

However, in her testimony in front of the Financial Services Committee last week, Yellen made it quite clear that she will in fact continue the current pace of tapering:

“In December, the Committee judged that the cumulative progress toward maximum employment and the improvement in the outlook for labor market conditions warranted a modest reduction in the pace of purchases, from $45 billion to $40 billion per month of longer-term Treasury securities and from $40 billion to $35 billion per month of agency mortgage-backed securities. At its January meeting, the Committee decided to make additional reductions of the same magnitude. If incoming information broadly supports the Committee's expectation of ongoing improvement in labor market conditions and inflation moving back toward its longer-run objective, the Committee will likely reduce the pace of asset purchases in further measured steps at future meetings.” 

What does that mean to a prospective purchaser? Currently, Freddie Mac’s 30 year rate is at 4.28%. Here are the projected interest rates for this time next year:

2.18 Visual.2

* Reported from Keeping Current Matters Blog

What Can You Expect?

by The Mike Parker Team

 

The two most frequently quoted constants in life are death and taxes.  Two more things would-be homeowners can expect in the near future are increases in mortgage rates and housing prices.

Interest rates have been kept artificially low for several years by the Federal Reserve in an effort to strengthen the economy. Policy is shifting to allow them to seek their own natural level and that will surely result in higher mortgage rates.  Rates on 30 year fixed mortgages are up over 1% from January, 2013.

Foreclosure activity is down, new home starts are up and prices have been increasing in most markets for two years.  Most experts agree that the cost of housing is going up.

If the price were to go up by 2% and the mortgage rate by 1% while a buyer is “sitting on the fence” making a decision, the payment would go up by almost $175.00 each and every month for the term of the mortgage.  Even if a person can afford to make the higher payments, what could they have done with that extra $175.00 a month?  Buy furniture?  Car payment?  Principal reduction?  Retirement contribution?  Save for a rainy day?

Click here to determine what the cost of waiting to buy will be using your price home.

Really???

by The Mike Parker Team

Home prices have come down 20, 30, 40% or more in the last three years and mortgage rates are lower than they've been in 50 years and you still haven't bought a home. Really?

Housing affordability is over 180, an all-time high when 100 is considered good and you're still renting. Really? Are you waiting for it to get to 200? Do you think prices and rates are going to get lower? Really?

You know it's costing you more every month to rent than to own. Tax savings, appreciation and principal reduction lower the monthly cost of housing and yet you'd rather let your landlord benefit...Really? Have you heard that the average homeowner has 41 times greater net worth than a renter? Do you think it's a coincidence? Really?

And have you heard that most people want a place of their own; a place to raise their family; to share with their friends; to feel safe and secure. So, you'd rather go home after working hard all day to your landlord's home. You'd prefer to invite some friends over to your landlord's home for dinner next weekend. Really?

You haven't checked out whether you can actually take advantage of the best buyer's market ever. You haven't invested thirty minutes to find out the facts as they apply to you and your situation. Really? You're basing a decision on national news, chat rooms and Facebook. Really?

Every market is different. Every buyer is unique. If you want a home; if you have a down payment; if you have good credit, you owe it to yourself and your family to explore the possibilities...but with a real estate professional; someone who can really show you the reasons and really give you options.

Should I Buy A Home Now or Wait?

by The Mike Parker Team

"Should I Buy a Home Now, or Wait?"

Will prices get better if I wait? Will mortgage rates be lower if I wait? Will I have a wider choice of homes to buy if I wait?

All good questions. They deserve good answers.

(1) Will home prices get better if I wait?

The average home price in the MLS of Greater Cincinnati has fallen by 13 % over the past year. As the number of homes for sale shrinks (see question #3 below), that will create pressure for higher home prices. It may not happen over night, but it will happen. In a recent Baylor University survey, 8 of 10 economists agreed home prices will rise in the next 5 years. So will rental costs.  Do you want to capture the advantage of equity build-up...or collect "throw-away" rent receipts?

(2) Will mortgage rates be lower if I wait?

Today's mortgage rates are near 50-year lows. They are at bargain levels. But if you've never bought a home before, you just don't realize the "borrowing power" of today's low rates (unless your parents, friends, or other relatives told you). You don't have to pay 15% for a home loan, as you did in the early 1980s, or 7%-to-8% in the 1970s and 1990s. Today they're between 5-6%. That's all.  But when inflation returns, you can "kiss goodbye" mortgage rates under 7%.

(3) Will I have a wider choice of homes to buy if I wait?

There are currently 14,182 homes for sale in the MLS of Greater Cincinnati. One year ago that number was 16,680. Two years ago it was 17,880. The trend in the number of homes available is definitely downward. The lower the inventory, the greater pressure for higher prices. So, should you wait for a wider choice? Fewer homes on the market = higher selling prices. So, do you want to buy low (now), or buy higher (later)?  Is there any particular reason, as a First-Time Buyer, why I should buy now?

Yes.

Until Nov. 30, 2009, first-time buyers are eligible for a "federal tax credit" up to $8,000 on the purchase of a home. Pure credit. Not repayable. Anyone who hasn't owned a home in the past 3 years may be eligible, if they meet income limits -- single buyers, $75,000 a year; married couples $150,000. The credit decreases for single buyers earning between $75,000 and $95,000, and between $150,000 and $170,000 for home buyers filing jointly. If you finance your home through FHA, you may use the tax credit money to help pay for down payment or closing costs. If you've been sitting on the fence, now is the time to get OFF that fence. Arm yourself with the facts, and join the 75 million homeowners nationwide who enjoy the benefits of home ownership (equity build-up, home appreciation, tax advantages, and pride of ownership).

Call The Mike Parker Team. We know (a) local market home inventories, (b) homes values, (c) lending programs, (d) first-time homebuyers tax credit program and (e) everything else to help you make a housing choice...TODAY. It's time to...Get Off the Fence.

 

Displaying blog entries 11-14 of 14

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Mike Parker - CRS
HUFF Realty
60 Cavalier Blvd.
Florence KY 41042
859-647-0700
859-486-3300